[Recently I read
a provocative analysis by Pervez Hoodbhoy on what is happening in
Pakistan and how Pakistan army has contributed to the present state of
disorder there. I am sharing it here with the readers. It presents a
scary picture because an unstable Pakistan is a potential danger not
only for India but South Asia as a whole.]
By Pervez Hoodbhoy, 12 August 2011
[Why is the Army getting
weaker? The problem is not the lack of materiel – guns, bombs, men, and money.
These have relatively easy fixes. Instead it is the military’s diminished moral
power and authority, absence of charismatic leadership, and visibly evident
accumulation of property and wealth. More than anything else, the Army has sought
to please both the Americans as well as their enemies]
Pakistan bleeds from a thousand cuts. If things had
gone according to plan it is India that should have been hurting now, not
Pakistan. The army’s 25 years-old low-cost, high-impact strategy of covert
warfare would have liberated Kashmir and secured Afghanistan from Indian
influence.
Instead, a fierce blowback has led to a daily
pileup of shaheeds, the casualties of a plan that went awry. The morale
of a fine fighting force plummets still further when its soldiers are ordered
to fight those coreligionists who claim to be fighting for Islam. The reported
refusal of some military units to confront the Taliban during last year’s South
Waziristan operation is said to have shocked senior officers and severely
limited their battle options in North Waziristan.
Post bin Laden, things have worsened. Pakistan’s
current crop of generals must simultaneously deal with the haughty American
diktat to “do more”, Islamic militant groups fixated upon attacking both
America and India, and a heavily Islamicized rank and file brimming with
seditious thoughts. Some want to kill
their superior officers; they achieved near success when General
Musharraf was targeted twice by air force and army officers in 2003. A military
court sentenced the mutineers to death, and a purge of officers and men
associated with militants was ordered.
Although the army has
been extremely reluctant to admit that radicalization exists within its ranks,
sometimes this fact simply cannot be swept under the rug. Last
week, the Army was forced to investigate Brigadier Ali Khan for his ties to
militants of the Hizb-ut-Tahrir, a radical organization that seeks to establish
a global caliphate and thinks its mission should begin from nuclear Pakistan.
The highest ranking officer so far arrested, Ali Khan comes from a family with
three generations of military service and is said to have a strong professional
record. It is said that General Kayani was reluctant to take this step in spite
of incontrovertible proof that Brigadier Khan had militant connections because
he feared the backlash. Four army majors are also currently being investigated,
but this could be just the tip of an iceberg.
Plummeting esteem
The military’s internal
difficulties come at a time when its public esteem has hit near a new low,
approaching that which existed in 1971. Today it is the object of scorn and
open profanities. No longer do people agree that those criticizing the Army
actually play into the hands of the enemy. Watching
protesters in Islamabad’s Aabpara market, which is just a short walk down from
the main ISI headquarters, I saw protesters tear down a huge military sponsored
banner praising the Army and ISI. The onlookers, conservative shopkeepers
included, cheered lustily.
Criticism comes from diverse quarters. Pakistani
nationalists are upset that their military has consumed the bulk of the
nation’s resources. Nevertheless its radars and equipment proved woefully
incapable of defending the country from American intruders. On the midnight of
May 2, as the Army snored and US-supplied PAF fighter and early warning
aircraft stood idle on the tarmac, an elite squad of helicopter-borne
American Navy SEALs had quietly slipped into Pakistan from Afghanistan a little
past midnight. They snatched Osama bin Laden from the Army’s armpit near the
Pakistan Military Academy at Kakul, pumped him full of bullets, and dispatched
him to his watery grave hours later. It was only when the Americans had exited
Pakistan’s airspace that air defences were scrambled.
Dissatisfaction with
their leadership is said to run throughout the Army. Junior officers are confronting their
superiors with impertinent questions. Stung by criticism all around, Gen
Kayani has been stumping the garrisons to raise morale. He was asked why the
invaders were not challenged and destroyed. Also, who sheltered bin Laden if we
are actually fighting al-Qaeda, our declared enemy? The Express Tribune quotes
an unnamed young military officer who made a stinging comment before the army
chief: “Sir, I am ashamed of
what happened in Abbottabad.” Replied Gen. Kayani, “So am I.” He
promptly went on to hold Zardari’s government responsible for allowing Pakistan
to get such bad press.
The military’s woeful inability to defend its own
personnel and assets has tarnished its image still further. The dramatic attack
on the Army’s GHQ in 2009, going on to the destruction of three ISI regional
headquarters by insider informed suicide bombers, revealed its helplessness. The military again drew the nation’s
withering scorn weeks after the OBL killing when, on May 22, flames
devoured the Navy’s two $36 million aircraft, the anti-submarine P3C Orion.
Only 6-20 attackers were involved, but they had successfully battled hundreds
of security forces at Karachi’s Mehran naval base for 18 hours and exposed the
ineptness of the defenders.
Following the Mehran attack, the military
authorities arrested from Lahore a former Special Services Group commando of
the Pakistan Navy, Kamran Ahmed, and his younger brother, Zaman Ahmed.
Attempting to disprove that this was a mutiny, a hurriedly convened official
inquiry claimed that DNA tests “proved” the attackers at Mehran base were not
Pakistanis. But if genes can reveal one’s nationality, or the quality of one’s
patriotism, then this must surely be a milestone in the history of genetics.
An unwelcome weakness
In its effort to breed
the armies of God, the Pakistan Army has fallen victim to its own successes.
Self-inflicted injuries generally get little sympathy. Still, it is difficult
to be joyful at the prospect of the Army’s division, disintegration, and
downfall. Should this happen, Pakistan and its people will have to deal with
the much deadlier forces. The
unfathomable hell of Talibanization lies beneath.
Why is the Army getting
weaker? The problem is not the lack of materiel – guns, bombs, men, and money.
These have relatively easy fixes. Instead
it is the military’s diminished moral power and authority, absence of
charismatic leadership, and visibly evident accumulation of property and
wealth. More than anything else, the Army has sought to please both the
Americans as well as their enemies. Recent revelations have brought this
contradiction into stark relief.
Officially, the Army condemns drone attacks in
Pakistan’s tribal areas, which became no-go areas shortly after 911 after a
massive cross border influx of Mullah Omar’s Taliban. But ordinary Pakistanis
have long suspected the sincerity of these routine condemnations. Drone bases
are located at many places inside Pakistan, like Shamsi air base in
Baluchistan. UAV’s are slow moving targets, easily destroyed by supersonic
fighter aircraft, or perhaps by ground-to-air missiles if supplied secretly to
the Taliban. Their unhindered operation smelled of collusion and complicity.
WikiLeaked documents, recently obtained by Dawn newspaper, confirmed this[1].
These secret cables, accidentally revealed, include
internal American government documents showing that the drone strikes program
within Pakistan had more than just tacit acceptance of the country’s top
military brass. In fact, as far back as January 2008, Pakistan’s military was
requesting the US for greater drone back-up for its own military operations. In
a meeting on January 22, 2008 with US CENTCOM Commander Admiral William J.
Fallon, Army Chief General Ashfaq Kayani requested the Americans to provide
“continuous Predator coverage of the conflict area” in South Waziristan where
the army was conducting operations against militants. The request is detailed
in a cable marked “secret”, sent by
then US Ambassador Anne Patterson on February 11, 2008.
Around March 3-4, in a meeting with Admiral Mike
Mullen, Chairman Joint Chiefs of Staff, Kayani was asked for his help “in
approving a third Restricted Operating Zone for US aircraft over the FATA.” The
request – detailed in a cable sent from the US Embassy Islamabad on March 24 –
clearly indicates that two “corridors” for US drones had already been approved
earlier. Instead of acclaiming that drones were an effective weapon against a
common enemy, it instead chose safety by hiding its role and criticizing the
Americans instead.
Other confidential American diplomatic cables, also
obtained by Dawn, revealed that collaboration with the US, strenuously denied
by the Army, was in fact true and that US special operations forces had been
embedded with Pakistani troops for intelligence gathering by the summer of
2009. They were subsequently deployed for joint operations in Pakistani
territory by September of that 2009. Ambassador Anne Patterson reported to the
State Department in May 2009 that “We have created Intelligence Fusion cells
with embedded US Special Forces with both SSG and Frontier Corps (Bala Hisar,
Peshawar) with the Rover equipment ready to deploy.”
Deeply divided divisions
Islam created Pakistan,
but it now divides Pakistan. Fuelled by ideological passions, diverse social and
religious Muslim formations have developed in different parts of the country. They often have divergent goals, and are
often pathologically violent. Some target the American empire, and are
hence attractive for Al-Qaida type groups. Others have less ambitious goals.
Several focus on “liberating” Kashmir. Still others, such as Lashkar-i-Jhangvi
and Sipah-e-Sahaba, would like to eliminate Pakistani Shias. The Khatm-e-Nabuhat
declares that it will physically exterminate the Qadianis, a sect that
it considers heretical. Pakistan’s
Christian, Hindu, and other religious minorities cower in fear. The rich among
them have mostly fled the country.
Since the early 1980’s crusade against Soviet
Russia, Pakistan has morphed into a central hub attracting a multitude of
Islamists from Europe to West and Central Asia to Indonesia. But Jihadistan is now a hugely messy place,
not the bastion of anti-communism and anti-atheism that it once was.
Even those workers who helped to create it – like the famous Colonel Imam and
Major Khalid Khwaja – ended up losing their lives.
Religion deeply divides
the Pakistan military. Perhaps it might be more accurate to think of it as two
militaries. The first is headed by Gen. Kayani. It seeks to
maintain the status quo and the Army’s preeminence in making national
decisions. The second is Allah’s army.
This awaits a leader even as it launches attacks on Pakistani military
installations, bases, top-level officers, soldiers, public places, mosques, and
police stations. Soldiers have been encouraged to turn their guns on to their
colleagues, troops have been tricked into ambushes, and high-level officers
have been assassinated. Allah’s army hopes to launch its final blitzkrieg once
the state of Pakistan has been sufficiently weakened by such attacks.
What separates Army-One
and ISI-One from Army-Two and ISI-Two? This may not be immediately evident. Both were
reared on the Two-Nation Theory, the belief of Mr. Mohammed Ali Jinnah, that
Hindus and Muslims could never live together in peace. Both are thoroughly steeped in anti-Indianism since their early days in
army cadet colleges at Petaro and Hasan Abdal. They also share a deep
rooted contempt for Pakistani civilians. This attitude has resulted in roughly
half of Pakistan’s history being that of direct military rule.
Still, they are not the same. The One’ers are “soft
Islamists” who are satisfied with a fuzzy belief that Islam provides solutions
to everything, that occasional prayers and ritual fasting in Ramzan is
sufficient, and that Sufis and Shias are bonafide Muslims rather than mushriks
or apostates. They are not particularly interested in defending the Sunni
states of Saudi Arabia, Bahrain, or the GCC. But should a lucrative overseas posting come the way of an individual
soldier or officer, well, that may be another matter. While having a dislike of
US policies, they are not militantly anti-US.
Army-Two and ISI-Two, on
the other hand, are soldier ideologues who have traveled further down the road
of Islamism. Large numbers of them regularly travel to Raiwind, the
headquarters of the Tablighi Jamaat, a supposedly non-political
religious organization which has a global proselytizing mission and whose
preachers are allowed open access into the Army.
The Two’ers are
stricter in matters of religious rituals, they insist that officers and their wives be segregated at army
functions. They keep an eye out for officers who secretly drink alcohol, and
how often they pray. Their political philosophy is that Islam and the
state should be inseparable.
Inspired by Maulana Abul Ala Maudoodi, who preached
that 7th century Arab Islam provides a complete blueprint for
society and politics, they see capturing state power as a means towards
creating the ideal society along the lines of the medieval Medina state. Many Two’ers are beardless, hence hard to
detect. They are fundamentally anti-science but computer savvy. For them, modern
technology is a tool of battle.
Like the proverbial ostrich, the One’ers fiercely defend the myth of army unity. They dismiss mutineers as isolated individuals. Mumtaz Qadri, the renegade bodyguard who murdered Punjab Governor Salman Taseer out of religious passion, is an inconvenient aberration to be dismissed from consideration. Today’s religious terrorism is trivialized as a passing threat notwithstanding the fact that it has claimed more Pakistani lives than lost in all wars with India. Instead, anger is reserved for those who state the obvious truth that Pakistan is in a state of civil war.
An outstanding investigative journalist, Saleem
Shahzad, who revealed the existence of Al-Qaida groupings within the Pakistani
navy after the Mehran base attack in the first part of an Asia Times article
series, provides a tragic example. The part-two of his series was never
published because it had promised to reveal similar cells in the army and air
force. Shahzad was tortured and kicked to death after being abducted from one
of the most secure parts of Islamabad. His mobile phone records are said to be
untraceable, and tapes of closed circuit cameras around the abduction area went
mysteriously missing. If true, then his murder could not be the work of hunted
organizations like the Pakistani Taliban or Al-Qaida. But was it ISI-One or
ISI-Two? Or some still more deeply hidden military agency? The truth may never
be known.
A confused identity
The tension within
Pakistani society and military fundamentally owe to an underlying confusion
about national purpose and identity. Six decades after Partition, key questions stand
unresolved. Are we Arabs or South
Asians? Is there a Pakistani culture? Should the country be run by
Islamic law? Can Hindus, Christians, and Ahmadis be proper Pakistanis? In a bid
to definitively resolve these existential questions, for decades Pakistani
school children have learned a linguistically flawed (but catchy) rhetorical
question. The question is chanted together with its answer: Pakistan ka matlab kya? La illaha illala! [What is the
meaning of Pakistan? There is no god but Allah!].
Hypnotized by mullah and
military, prodded into adopting a pseudo Arab identity, and excited into wild
passions, Pakistan’s youth have become progressively less thoughtful and less
educated about the world. A recent survey of 2000 young Pakistanis in the
18-27 age group found that three-quarters identify themselves first as Muslims
and only secondly as Pakistanis. Just 14% chose to define themselves as
citizens of Pakistan first. If military
personnel could be asked whether they considered themselves as soldiers of
Islam or of Pakistan, one suspects that their answer would be roughly similar.
This is why such a dangerous question cannot (and should not!) be asked today.
Why has Islamic
radicalism become such a powerful force generally, as well as in the Pakistan
military? In part it owes to anger generated by Western military invasions of
Muslim societies: Palestine, Iraq, Afghanistan. Greed for natural resources has
imposed US hegemony in much of the Arab world and stunted their natural growth.
But anger at oil-hungry imperialism cannot be the whole story. Surveys show
that the U.S. is disliked more in Muslim countries than in Cuba, Iraq, and
Afghanistan – all countries that have been attacked by America. A private
survey carried out by a European embassy based in Islamabad found that only 4%
of Pakistanis polled speak well of America, 96% against. The U.S. now has the dubious distinction of
being Pakistan’s enemy numero-uno, having displaced India from its leading
position. The left and centre share this antipathy with the right.
Drone attacks on Pakistan’s tribal areas are also
cited as a reason. But there is abundant evidence that UAVs have been precise
killing instruments. The recent killing of Ilyas Kashmiri (June 2011) is only
one recent example. Although the collateral death of innocents is terrible,
their numbers are insignificant compared to the carnage in Vietnam’s cities
which were carpet-bombed by B-52’s in the 1970’s. Nevertheless, the anger in
Pakistan leads to anger far greater than ever existed in Vietnam.
The meteoric rise of hard-line Islam in Pakistan
has many reasons. But perhaps the most
relevant one lies in wounded pride, together with contempt for “upstarts” who
claim to be at the vanguard of civilization today. Faced by manifest
decline from a peak of greatness 9-12 centuries ago, and afflicted by cultural
dislocation in the age of globalisation, many Muslim societies have succumbed
to religious resurgence. Pakistan too has turned inwards. Diminished self-esteem comes from having
little presence in today’s world affairs whether in science or in culture and
the arts. Faced with manifest decline, Islamic hard-liners dream of a
new global caliphate which they imagine will make Muslims recapture their
former glories.
Most hard-liners are of Wahabi, Salafi,
and Deobandi persuasion. Wahabism, which originated in the 18th
century in Arabia, started as a reaction to Shia’ism and Sufism. In its early
years, it succeeded in destroying all shrines, together with priceless
historical monuments and relics from the early days of Islam. This is why Mecca
today bears little resemblance to what it was a century ago; its history has
been expunged by bulldozing ancient graveyards and historical objects.
The Salafis – who seek the “purification” of
Islam by returning to the pure form practiced in the time of Prophet Muhammad
and his companions – are just as prone to violent extremism. Among the most
extreme manifestation of Salafism is Takfir-wal-Hijra. In 1996
the group is said to have plotted to assassinate Osama bin Laden for being too
lax a Muslim. Pakistani Deobandis
have a harder line than Indian Deobandis. They do not condemn suicide bombings, are strongly pro-Taliban, and are
heavily armed. Muslims of the Deobandi-Salafi-Wahabi persuasion fiercely
decry the syncretism of popular Islam, claiming that it arises from ignorance
of Qura’nic teachings.
Pakistan has bulk-imported Arab Islam after the
1980’s, particularly that which is directed against syncretism. In June 2010,
the widely venerated shrine of Data Darbar in Lahore was targeted by two
suicide bombers who killed around 50 worshippers. Today, every single major shrine in Pakistan has either been attacked or
is under threat. Many hundred worshippers, both at shrines and the
“wrong” mosques, have been killed. There are no records of those injured and
maimed for life.
The export of hard-line Arab Islam to Pakistan has
been paid for by rich Arabs and their governments. A US official in a cable
sent to the State Department, which came to light after Wikileaks, stated that
“financial support estimated at nearly 100 million USD annually was making its
way to Deobandi and Ahl-i-Hadith clerics in south Punjab from
organisations in Saudi Arabia and the United Arab Emirates ostensibly with the
direct support of those governments.” This cable, sent in November 2008 by
Bryan Hunt, the then Principal Officer at the US Consulate in Lahore, was based
on information from discussions with local government and non-governmental
sources during his trips to the cities of Multan and Bahawalpur. Quoting local
interlocutors, Hunt attempts to explain how the “sophisticated jihadi
recruitment network” operated in a region dominated by the BarelviDeobandiAhl-i-Hadith
schools of thought.
Still digging away
When you fall into a
hole, stop digging. This principle is as crucial for matters of human society
as the second law of thermodynamics is for physics. But, at least for now, Army-One and ISI-One
remain skeptical.
A score of Islamic militant outfits are still based
in Muridke, Bahawalpur, Mansehra and elsewhere. They are tacitly allowed, or
perhaps actively encouraged, to take on
an idol-worshipping Hindu army at times and places of their own choosing.
Hafiz Saeed continues to make fiery speeches in Lahore while Fazlur Rahman
Khalil, who heads the banned Harkat-ul-Mujahidin, lives comfortably in
Islamabad with four large decibel loudspeakers around his house.
The Pakistani
establishment is generally comfortable with hunting with the American hounds
and running with the Islamist hares. But this leads to frustration not just with their
Islamist allies, but also with their American ones. Leon Panetta, chief of the
Central Intelligence Agency, left Islamabad fuming after an apparently fruitless
meeting with Generals Kayani and Pasha. According to US media reports, Panetta
shared with the military leadership some video and satellite imagery of
militants hastily leaving two IED factories in Waziristan. It wanted Pakistan
to take action against the two sites. But Panetta alleged at the meeting that
the information was leaked within 24 hours of sharing and by the time the
raiding teams reached those places, the militants had melted away. Apparently ISI-Two was at work.
Opportunities to change
direction have been squandered by the One’ers. The bin Laden operation
could have been used to clean up the military. That the world’s most wanted man
had been hidden by the Two’ers is likely. If true, his discovery next to the
Pakistan Military Academy provided evidence of complicity with terrorists and
was a golden opportunity to fully investigate and crack down on jihadists
within the military in Abbottabad and elsewhere.
But instead of taking this bold decision, General
Kayani opted to do what the military has done best: raise anti-US sentiment for
having violated Pakistan’s sovereignty, and browbeat the civilian government. The humble subservience of Pakistan’s
civilians to their military masters was there for all to see. As the
story broke on Pakistani news channels, the elected government quaked. It was too weak, corrupt and inept to take
initiatives.
Thus, there was no official Pakistani reaction for
hours after President Obama had announced the success of the US mission.
A stunned silence was finally broken when the
Foreign Office declared that “Osama bin Laden’s death illustrates the resolve
of the international community including Pakistan to fight and eliminate
terrorism.” Hours later, Prime Minister Yousuf Raza Gillani described the
killing as a “great victory”. Thereupon, Pakistan’s high commissioner to the
UK, Wajid Shamsul Hasan, rushed to claim credit: “Pakistan’s government was
cooperating with American intelligence throughout and they had been monitoring
[bin Laden’s] activities with the Americans, and they kept track of him from
Afghanistan,
Waziristan to Afghanistan and again to North Waziristan.”
This welcoming stance was reversed almost
instantly. A stern look from the military, which had finally decided to condemn
the raid, took barely a few hours in coming. Praising the killing of the
world’s most wanted terrorist was now out of the question. In its moment of
shame, the government furiously twisted and turned. Official spokespeople babbled on, becoming increasingly senseless and
contradictory. Without referring to the statement he had made that very
morning of 3 May, High Commissioner Hasan abruptly reversed his public
position, now saying: “Nobody knew that Osama bin Laden was there – no security
agency, no Pakistani authorities knew about it. Had we known it, we would have
done it ourselves.”
Confused and tongue-tied for 36 hours, Pakistan’s president and prime minister
awaited pointers from the army, following
them dutifully after they were received. But simple obedience did not satisfy their masters. Gen Kayani
announced his unhappiness with the government: “Incomplete information and lack
of technical details have resulted in speculations and misreporting. Public
dismay and despondency has also been aggravated due to an insufficient formal
response.”
The threat was thinly veiled: the government must
proactively defend the army and intelligence agencies, else be warned.
Thus prodded, a full eight days after the incident
Prime Minister Gillani broke his silence. He absolved the Inter-Services
Intelligence (ISI) and army of “either complicity or incompetence”. Before an
incredulous world, he claimed in a statement that both suggestions were
“absurd”. Attempting to spread the blame, he declared in Paris, before his
meeting with President Sarkozy, “This is an intelligence failure of the whole
world, not Pakistan alone.” Tragically, once again an elected government had
failed the people of Pakistan. Democracy alone is not the solution to a
country’s problems.
A new mindset needed
It was a breath of fresh air when, following the
murder of Saleem Shahzad, former prime
minister Nawaz Sharif demanded that the Army change its mindset. But what
exactly did he mean? That the military should submit to the politicians and
elected government? Not interfere in elections? Protect its nukes and other
assets better? While welcome, this does not go far enough.
A bigger change is needed. Pakistan needs to stop seeing everything through the ever-expanding prism
of war and competition with India. Super-charged, locally bred religious
militants have fiercely turned upon their former tutors. Today it is the Pakistan military – and the
country that it runs with an iron hand – which is haemorrhaging from
unrelenting militant attacks. As violence grows, pessimism and
despondency have descended onto the intelligentsia, prompting a flight out of the country of Pakistan’s best doctors,
engineers, scientists, and other professionals.
To prosper, Pakistan needs to overcome its
unrelenting hatred for India, leave Kashmir as a problem to be solved by
Kashmiris, concentrate upon improving governance and internal issues, deal
politically with the Baluchistan situation rather than simply murder
dissidents, and realize that it is in deep peril because of its past policies.
The military’s role must be limited to defending
the people of Pakistan against internal and external aggression, and to ensuring
that their constitutional and civil rights are protected. It is time for the military establishment to
stop shelling out juicy pieces of real estate for alleged heroic feats, and
dispense with its huge business and commercial interests.
India, through its
confrontational policies with Pakistan, shares some responsibility for the
present tragic state of affair and has driven Pakistan into a corner. It is
therefore incumbent upon India to help Pakistan overcome its difficulties or,
at any rate, to refrain from adding to them. This is in India’s self interest –
imagine the consequences if central authority in Pakistan disappears or is
sharply weakened. Splintered into a hundred jihadist lashkars, each with
its own agenda and tactics, Pakistan’s territory would become India’s eternal
nightmare. When Mumbai-II occurs – as
it surely would in such circumstances – India’s options in dealing with nuclear
Pakistan would be severely limited. Operation Cold Start is a
non-starter, a figment of the imagination of Indian generals that they could
avoid nuclear war by limiting the depth and intensity of their initial strikes.
India should derive no satisfaction from Pakistan’s
predicament. Militant groups see ordinary Muslims as munafiqs
(hypocrites) – and therefore free to be blown up in bazaars and mosques. In
their calculus of hate, hurting Hindu India would buy even more tickets for
heaven than hurting Muslim Pakistan. They dream of ripping apart both
societies, or starting a war – preferably nuclear – between Pakistan and India.
To create a future working alliance with Pakistan,
and in deference to basic democratic principles, India must therefore be seen
as genuinely working towards some kind of resolution of the Kashmir issue. A
halfway effort is better than none. Over the past two decades India has been
morally isolated from Kashmiri Muslims and continues to incur the very
considerable costs of an occupying power in the Valley. Indian soldiers
continue to needlessly die – and to oppress and kill Kashmiri innocents.
It is time for India to fuzz the LOC, make it
highly permeable to non-jihadis, and demilitarize it up to some mutually
negotiated depth on both sides. Also, India must entertain Pakistan’s
complaints over the use of the water originating in Kashmir’s mountains, which
is surely a joint resource. Without peace in Kashmir the forces of cross-border
jihad, and its hate-filled holy warriors, will continue to receive unnecessary
succor. A helpful symbolic step for Pakistan’s nervous government would be for
India to give ground on the Siachen and Sir Creek disputes.
India also needs to allay Pakistan’s fears on
Baluchistan. Although Pakistan’s current iniquitous federal structure is the
cause of the problem – a fact which it is now finally addressing through the
passage of the 18th Constitutional Amendment – nevertheless it is
possible that India is aiding some insurgent groups. Statements have been made
in India that Baluchistan provides New Delhi with a handle to exert pressure on
Pakistan. This is unacceptable, if true.
It has long been true that a little goodwill and
friendship would go a long way in laying the basis for rapprochement between
India and Pakistan. But improving
relations between the two countries is not an optional extra – it has become a
matter of survival, particularly for us in Pakistan.
(The author is a professor of physics and teaches in
Lahore(LUMS) and Islamabad (QAU).
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